Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Ohio — Democratic:: Democratic party
Open on Kalshi ↗Yes last at 57¢
The catch
Must be inaugurated, not just elected; media projections can trigger early settlement.
“If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Ohio pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.” · market rules ↗
Pays out only if
A Democratic party representative is inaugurated as Ohio governor following the 2026 election.
“If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Ohio pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.” · market rules ↗Decided at the event on November 30, 2027
“The Expiration Date of the Contract shall be the sooner of the date of the first 10:00 AM ET following the swearing in of the Governor for <state> pursuant to the election in question or a year after the popular vote for the Governorship in <election year>.” · contract terms ↗Counts as done when: swearing in of the Governor
“If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Ohio pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.” · market rules ↗Decided by: Ohio (state government), The New York Times (NYT), The Associated Press (AP), Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ), CNN, Fox News, NBC News, CBS News, ABC News
“The Source Agency is <state>.” · contract terms ↗
Does not count
If the winner changes party between election day and swearing in, the election day party is used.
“If the individual announces they have changed party between the election and being sworn in, the market will resolve based on the party they were a part of on election day.” · contract terms ↗- A Democrat wins the election but dies or resigns before inauguration, and a non-Democrat is sworn inour reading
- A Democrat is projected to win by 3 media sources (not enough for early settlement) but ultimately losesour reading
- Amy Acton specifically does not win, but another Democrat doesour reading
Watch out
HIGHA Yes here may pay less than a dollar
“If a vacancy occurs in the seat following the election (e.g. a Governor-elect resigns the seat prior to their seating), the party of the person first sworn in as their temporary, or permanent, replacement in that seat will be encompassed within the Payout Criterion.” · contract terms ↗- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
WATCHThe venue keeps a right to review the outcome
“Before Settlement, Kalshi may, at its sole discretion, initiate the Market Outcome Review Process pursuant to Rule 6.3(c) of the Rulebook.” · contract terms ↗
Read on 2026-09-10. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only, not a prediction.
The rules, in plain English
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Ohio following the 2026 election, the market resolves to Yes. The market can resolve early if a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
What the rules leave open
Whether Amy Acton must be the specific Democratic candidate, or if any Democrat winning counts.
closest the rules come: “If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Ohio pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.” · market rules ↗What happens if no one is sworn in within a year after the popular vote.
closest the rules come: “The Expiration Date of the Contract shall be the sooner of the date of the first 10:00 AM ET following the swearing in of the Governor for <state> pursuant to the election in question or a year after the popular vote for the Governorship in <election year>.” · contract terms ↗