Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in Kansas? — Democratic party:: Democratic party
Open on Kalshi ↗Yes last at 40¢
The catch
Resolves on who is sworn in, not who wins the election.
“If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as the Attorney General of Kansas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.” · market rules ↗
Pays out only if
A Democratic party representative is sworn in as Kansas Attorney General for the term starting in 2027.
“If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as the Attorney General of Kansas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.” · market rules ↗Has to happen during one year after the election in 2026
“The latest Expiration Date of the Contract shall be one year after the election in <year>.” · contract terms ↗Counts as done when: sworn in as Attorney General
“If a new Attorney General is sworn in pursuant to the election in <year>, expiration will be moved to an earlier date and time in accordance with Rule 7.2.” · contract terms ↗Decided by: the relevant electoral authority governing <election>, Kansas
“the relevant electoral authority governing <election>” · settlement source ↗
Does not count
If the person changes party affiliation between election day and being sworn in, only their party on election day counts.
“If the individual announces they have changed party between the election and being sworn in, the market will resolve based on the party they were a part of on election day.” · contract terms ↗- Democratic candidate wins the election but dies or declines before being sworn inour reading
- Democratic candidate wins but switches party affiliation after election day but before being sworn inour reading
- Democratic candidate is elected but a different person is sworn in due to legal challenges or other circumstancesour reading
Watch out
- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
WATCHThe venue keeps a right to review the outcome
“Before Settlement, Kalshi may, at its sole discretion, initiate the Market Outcome Review Process pursuant to Rule 6.3(d) of the Rulebook.” · contract terms ↗
Read on 2026-09-11. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only, not a prediction.
The rules, in plain English
If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as the Attorney General of Kansas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market can be resolved early if at least four of eight designated media organizations project the winner and none contradict.
What the rules leave open
What happens if no one is sworn in by the deadline (one year after the election)?
closest the rules come: “The latest Expiration Date of the Contract shall be one year after the election in <year>.” · contract terms ↗What counts as being a 'representative of the Democratic party' - does it require formal party membership or just running on the Democratic ticket?
closest the rules come: “The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the person sworn in as Attorney General of <city> pursuant to the <election year> election is a representative of <political party>.” · contract terms ↗