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Kalshi· Economics· open· settles 2035-02-28

GDP growth in 2034? — 0.6% to 1.0%

Open on Kalshi ↗Yes last at 6¢

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Original rules text

If the United States real GDP growth in 2034 is between 0.6% to 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2034. The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2034 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2034 GDP in early 2035. Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.

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