Kalshi Polymarket Disputes About

Kalshi· Economics· open· closes 2037-12-31

GDP growth in 2036? — 0.0% or Below

Open on Kalshi ↗Yes last at 10¢

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Original rules text

If the United States real GDP growth in 2036 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2036. The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2036 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2036 GDP in early 2037. Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.

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