Kalshi· Elections· open· closes 2028-12-22

Will Gaetano Manfredi become Prime Minister of Italy following the next Italian general election? — Gaetano Manfredi

We haven't read this market's rules yet. The original text is below.

Original rules text

If Gaetano Manfredi becomes Prime Minister of Italy as a result of government formation following the next Italian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government). If no government forms by Dec 22, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.

Source ↗

Get the weekly five

The five worst-worded open markets, every Sunday.