Will Texas Senate be James Talarico wins AND Maine Senate be Susan Collins wins for Nov 2026? — James Talarico and Susan Collins
Open on Kalshi ↗Yes last at 15¢
The catch
Both races must result in wins; if either candidate loses, the entire contract pays No.
“If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.” · market rules ↗
Pays out only if
James Talarico wins the Texas Senate race and Susan Collins wins the Maine Senate race in the 2026 midterms.
“If ALL of the following occur: Texas Senate: James Talarico wins, Maine Senate: Susan Collins wins, then the market resolves to Yes.” · market rules ↗Has to happen during 2026 midterms
“All conditions must be satisfied for the 2026 midterms.” · market rules ↗Counts as done when: election results documented by Source Agencies
“The Underlying for this Contract is the outcomes, announcements, and data releases regarding <outcomes> as documented by the Source Agencies between Issuance and the resolution of each <component>.” · contract terms ↗Decided by: The New York Times, the Associated Press, Bloomberg News, Reuters, The Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, The Washington Post, Politico
“The Source Agencies are, if not otherwise specified, for U.S. federal data: the relevant U.S. government agency releasing the data (Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Federal Reserve, Congressional Budget Office, U.S. Census Bureau, U.S. Treasury, White House, U.S. Congress), and for all political/economic events: The New York Times, the Associated Press, Bloomberg News, Reuters, The Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, The Washington Post, Politico, and official statements from specified government entities, persons, or international organizations.” · contract terms ↗
Does not count
- Talarico wins Texas Senate but Collins loses Maine Senateour reading
- Collins wins Maine Senate but Talarico loses Texas Senateour reading
- Either candidate wins in a different election year (not 2026 midterms)our reading
- Either candidate wins a different office (e.g., House seat instead of Senate)our reading
Watch out
- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
WATCHThe venue keeps a right to review the outcome
“Before Settlement, Kalshi may, at its sole discretion, initiate the Market Outcome Review Process pursuant to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.” · contract terms ↗
Read on 2026-09-11. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only, not a prediction.
The rules, in plain English
If both of the following happen: James Talarico wins the Texas Senate race, and Susan Collins wins the Maine Senate race, then the market pays Yes. This is a combination market requiring all specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If any single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Texas Senate (USELECTION), Maine Senate (USELECTION). All conditions must be satisfied for the 2026 midterms.
What the rules leave open
What constitutes a 'win' - is it being declared the winner by media outlets, certification by state officials, or taking office?
closest the rules come: “Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Texas Senate (USELECTION), Maine Senate (USELECTION).” · market rules ↗Whether revisions to election results after the Expiration Date would be accounted for.
closest the rules come: “Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.” · contract terms ↗