Will Robert Pattison win Best Actor at the Oscars? — Robert Pattison:: Primetime
Open on Kalshi ↗Yes last at 4¢
Pays out only if
Robert Pattinson wins Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards.
“If Robert Pattinson has won Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.” · market rules ↗Has to happen during March 2027
“The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027.” · market rules ↗Counts as done when: winner announced by the Academy
“The Expiration Date of the Contract shall be the sooner of the date of the first 10:00 AM following the release of the winners for <number> Academy Awards ceremony, or <expo_date>.” · contract terms ↗Decided by: Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences
“The Source Agency is the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.” · contract terms ↗
Does not count
- Robert Pattinson wins Best Supporting Actor instead of Best Actorour reading
- Robert Pattinson is nominated for Best Actor but does not winour reading
- Robert Pattinson wins Best Actor at a different Academy Awards ceremony (not the 99th)our reading
- Robert Pattinson wins Best Actor at a different awards show (Golden Globes, SAG, etc.)our reading
Watch out
- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
WATCHThe venue keeps a right to review the outcome
“Before Settlement, Kalshi may, at its sole discretion, initiate the Market Outcome Review Process pursuant to Rule 6.3(c) of the Rulebook.” · contract terms ↗
Read on 2026-10-02. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only, not a prediction.
The rules, in plain English
The market resolves to Yes if Robert Pattinson has won Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards. The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market has not been endorsed by the Oscars.
What the rules leave open
Whether the market resolves Yes if Robert Pattinson wins Best Actor in a Leading Role (the official category name) versus 'Best Actor' as stated in the market.
closest the rules come: “If Robert Pattinson has won Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.” · market rules ↗What the specific <expo_date> value is for this market (the alternative deadline to the ceremony date).
closest the rules come: “The Expiration Date of the Contract shall be the sooner of the date of the first 10:00 AM following the release of the winners for <number> Academy Awards ceremony, or <expo_date>.” · contract terms ↗Whether revisions or corrections to the winner announcement after the initial release would count.
closest the rules come: “Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.” · contract terms ↗