2027 Best Actress Oscar nominations? — Scarlett Johansson:: Paper Tiger
Open on Kalshi ↗Yes last at 11¢
Pays out only if
Scarlett Johansson must be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards.
“If Scarlett Johansson has been nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.” · market rules ↗Decided at the event on December 31, 2027
“The Expiration Date of the Contract shall be the sooner of the date of the first 10:00 AM following the release of all of the nominees for <number> Academy Awards ceremony, or the last day of the year in which the awards ceremony is taking place.” · contract terms ↗Counts as done when: when nominees are released by the Academy
“The Expiration Date of the Contract shall be the sooner of the date of the first 10:00 AM following the release of all of the nominees for <number> Academy Awards ceremony, or the last day of the year in which the awards ceremony is taking place.” · contract terms ↗Decided by: Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences
“The Source Agency is the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.” · contract terms ↗
Does not count
- Scarlett Johansson is nominated for a different Oscar category (not Best Actress)our reading
- Scarlett Johansson wins Best Actress but was not nominatedour reading
- Scarlett Johansson is nominated for Best Actress at a different Academy Awards ceremony (not the 99th)our reading
Watch out
- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
WATCHThe venue keeps a right to review the outcome
“Before Settlement, Kalshi may, at its sole discretion, initiate the Market Outcome Review Process pursuant to Rule 6.3(c) of the Rulebook.” · contract terms ↗
Read on 2026-09-11. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only, not a prediction.
The rules, in plain English
If Scarlett Johansson has been nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market is not endorsed by the Oscars.
What the rules leave open
Whether the nomination must be for a specific film titled 'Obsession' or any film
closest the rules come: “If Scarlett Johansson has been nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.” · market rules ↗Whether revisions to nominations after the initial announcement count
closest the rules come: “Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.” · contract terms ↗