2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? — Dune: Part Three::
Open on Kalshi ↗Yes last at 78¢
Pays out only if
Dune: Part Three is nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards.
“If Dune: Part Three has been nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.” · market rules ↗Decided at the event on December 31, 2027
“The Expiration Date of the Contract shall be the sooner of the date of the first 10:00 AM following the release of all of the nominees for <number> Academy Awards ceremony, or the last day of the year in which the awards ceremony is taking place.” · contract terms ↗Counts as done when: Announcement of nominees by the Academy
“The Expiration Date of the Contract shall be the sooner of the date of the first 10:00 AM following the release of all of the nominees for <number> Academy Awards ceremony, or the last day of the year in which the awards ceremony is taking place.” · contract terms ↗Decided by: Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences, https://www.oscars.org/oscars
“The Source Agency is the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.” · contract terms ↗
Does not count
- Dune: Part Three wins Best Picture but was not nominatedour reading
- Dune: Part Three is nominated after the deadline or ceremony year endsour reading
- Dune: Part Three is nominated in a different category but not Best Pictureour reading
- Nominations are announced but later revised to include Dune: Part Threeour reading
Watch out
- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
WATCHThe venue keeps a right to review the outcome
“Before Settlement, Kalshi may, at its sole discretion, initiate the Market Outcome Review Process pursuant to Rule 6.3(c) of the Rulebook.” · contract terms ↗
Read on 2026-09-10. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only, not a prediction.
The rules, in plain English
If Dune: Part Three gets a Best Picture nomination at the 99th Academy Awards, the market resolves Yes. The 99th Academy Awards nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market is not endorsed by the Oscars.
What the rules leave open
Whether a film must be released under the exact title 'Dune: Part Three' or if alternative titles would count
closest the rules come: “If Dune: Part Three has been nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.” · market rules ↗