Sharpbook
Kalshi· Entertainment· open· settles 2027-12-31

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? — Saturn Return

Open on KalshiYes last at 4¢

Pays out only if

  • Saturn Return is nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards.
    If Saturn Return has been nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. · market rules
  • Decided at the event on December 31, 2027
    The Expiration Date of the Contract shall be the sooner of the date of the first 10:00 AM following the release of all of the nominees for <number> Academy Awards ceremony, or the last day of the year in which the awards ceremony is taking place. · contract terms
  • Counts as done when: Announcement of nominees by the Academy
    The Expiration Date of the Contract shall be the sooner of the date of the first 10:00 AM following the release of all of the nominees for <number> Academy Awards ceremony, or the last day of the year in which the awards ceremony is taking place. · contract terms
  • Decided by: Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences, https://www.oscars.org/oscars
    The Source Agency is the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences. · contract terms

Does not count

  • Saturn Return wins Best Picture but was not nominatedour reading
  • Saturn Return is nominated after the deadline or ceremony year endsour reading
  • Saturn Return is nominated in a different category but not Best Pictureour reading
  • Nominations are announced but later revised to include Saturn Returnour reading

Watch out

  • WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
  • WATCHThe venue keeps a right to review the outcome
    Before Settlement, Kalshi may, at its sole discretion, initiate the Market Outcome Review Process pursuant to Rule 6.3(c) of the Rulebook. · contract terms

Read on 2026-09-10. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only, not a prediction.

The rules, in plain English

If Saturn Return gets a Best Picture nomination at the 99th Academy Awards, the market resolves Yes. The 99th Academy Awards nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market is not endorsed by the Oscars.

What the rules leave open

  • Whether a film must be released under the exact title 'Saturn Return' or if alternative titles would count
    closest the rules come: If Saturn Return has been nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. · market rules