Will Digger win Best Picture at the Oscars? — Digger::
Open on Kalshi ↗Yes last at 5¢
Pays out only if
Digger wins Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards.
“If Digger has won Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.” · market rules ↗Decided at the event on March 31, 2027
“The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027.” · market rules ↗Counts as done when: Winners announced by the Academy
“The Expiration Date of the Contract shall be the sooner of the date of the first 10:00 AM following the release of the winners for <number> Academy Awards ceremony, or <expo_date>.” · contract terms ↗Decided by: Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences, https://www.oscars.org/oscars
“The Source Agency is the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.” · contract terms ↗
Does not count
- Digger is nominated for Best Picture but does not winour reading
- Digger wins a different Oscar category but not Best Pictureour reading
- The Academy announces the winner after the expo_date deadline passesour reading
- Digger wins at a different awards ceremony (Golden Globes, BAFTAs, etc.)our reading
Watch out
- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
WATCHThe venue keeps a right to review the outcome
“Before Settlement, Kalshi may, at its sole discretion, initiate the Market Outcome Review Process pursuant to Rule 6.3(c) of the Rulebook.” · contract terms ↗
Read on 2026-09-10. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only, not a prediction.
The rules, in plain English
If Digger wins Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market is not endorsed by the Oscars.
What the rules leave open
The specific expo_date is not stated in the market rules.
closest the rules come: “The Expiration Date of the Contract shall be the sooner of the date of the first 10:00 AM following the release of the winners for <number> Academy Awards ceremony, or <expo_date>.” · contract terms ↗Whether revisions or corrections to the winner announced after the Expiration Date would affect settlement.
closest the rules come: “Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.” · contract terms ↗