Will Andy Beshear be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? — Andy Beshear
Open on Kalshi ↗Yes last at 4¢
Pays out only if
- Andy Beshear wins and accepts the Democratic Party's nomination for President in 2028.“If Andy Beshear wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.” — market rules ↗
- The other party has to be the Democratic Party“If Andy Beshear wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.” — market rules ↗
- Has to happen before November 1, 2028“The Expiration Date of the Contract shall be the sooner of the date of the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of an event encompassed by the Payout Criterion for any candidate or the day of the November popular vote for the Presidency in <election year>.” — contract terms ↗
- Counts as done when: the first person to have been nominated by the party and to have accepted the nomination“The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that <candidate> is the nominee (they are the first person to have been nominated by the party and to have accepted the nomination) for <political party> in <election year>.” — contract terms ↗
- Decided by: Democratic Party“The Source Agency is <political party>.” — contract terms ↗
Does not count
- Andy Beshear wins the nomination but does not accept it
- Andy Beshear accepts the nomination but is not the first person to do so (someone else was nominated and accepted first)
- Andy Beshear is nominated after the November 2028 election day
- Andy Beshear is nominated by a different party or as an independent
Watch out
- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
- WATCHThe venue keeps a right to review the outcome“Before Settlement, Kalshi may, at its sole discretion, initiate the Market Outcome Review Process pursuant to Rule 6.3(c) of the Rulebook.” — contract terms ↗
- NOTEA specific counterparty is named“If Andy Beshear wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.” — market rules ↗
Read on 2026-09-09 from the documents listed under “What we read”. Facts and gaps only — not a prediction.
What we read
- Market rules — the text shown on the market page ↗
- Settlement source — Republican Party ↗
- Settlement source — Democratic Party ↗
- Contract terms — the series contract (PDF) ↗
The rules, in plain English
If Andy Beshear wins and accepts the Democratic Party's nomination for President in 2028, the market resolves to Yes.
What the rules leave open
- What counts as official nomination by the Democratic Party (convention vote, party announcement, etc.)
- What form of acceptance is required
- Whether revisions to the Underlying after Expiration would include scenarios where the nomination is later withdrawn or changed
- How the Source Agency (Democratic Party) will document the nomination and acceptance