Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? — Bernie Sanders
Open on Kalshi ↗Yes last at 0¢
The catch
Sanders must both win and accept the nomination; winning alone is not enough.
“If Bernie Sanders wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.” — market rules ↗
Pays out only if
Bernie Sanders wins and accepts the Democratic Party's presidential nomination in 2028.
“If Bernie Sanders wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.” — market rules ↗The other party has to be the Democratic Party
“If Bernie Sanders wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.” — market rules ↗Decided at the event on November 30, 2028
“The Expiration Date of the Contract shall be the sooner of the date of the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of an event encompassed by the Payout Criterion for any candidate or the day of the November popular vote for the Presidency in <election year>.” — contract terms ↗Counts as done when: first person to be nominated by the party and to have accepted the nomination
“The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that <candidate> is the nominee (they are the first person to have been nominated by the party and to have accepted the nomination) for <political party> in <election year>.” — contract terms ↗Decided by: Democratic Party
“The Source Agency is <political party>.” — contract terms ↗
Does not count
Revisions to the nomination made after the Expiration Date do not count.
“Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.” — contract terms ↗- Sanders wins the nomination but declines to accept itour reading
- Sanders is nominated but another candidate was nominated and accepted firstour reading
- Sanders wins the nomination after the November 2028 election dayour reading
Watch out
- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
WATCHThe venue keeps a right to review the outcome
“Before Settlement, Kalshi may, at its sole discretion, initiate the Market Outcome Review Process pursuant to Rule 6.3(c) of the Rulebook.” — contract terms ↗NOTEA specific counterparty is named
“If Bernie Sanders wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.” — market rules ↗
Read on 2026-09-10. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only — not a prediction.
The rules, in plain English
If Bernie Sanders wins and accepts the Democratic Party's nomination for President in 2028, the market resolves to Yes.
What the rules leave open
What constitutes official acceptance of the nomination by the candidate.
closest the rules come: “The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that <candidate> is the nominee (they are the first person to have been nominated by the party and to have accepted the nomination) for <political party> in <election year>.” — contract terms ↗- Whether Sanders must be alive to win and accept the nomination.