Will Gina Raimondo be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? — Gina Raimondo
Open on Kalshi ↗Yes last at 0¢
The catch
Raimondo must both win and accept the nomination; winning alone is not enough.
“If Gina Raimondo wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.” — market rules ↗
Pays out only if
Gina Raimondo wins and accepts the Democratic Party's presidential nomination in 2028.
“If Gina Raimondo wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.” — market rules ↗The other party has to be the Democratic Party
“If Gina Raimondo wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.” — market rules ↗Decided at the event on November 30, 2028
“The Expiration Date of the Contract shall be the sooner of the date of the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of an event encompassed by the Payout Criterion for any candidate or the day of the November popular vote for the Presidency in <election year>.” — contract terms ↗Counts as done when: first person nominated by the party who accepts the nomination
“The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that <candidate> is the nominee (they are the first person to have been nominated by the party and to have accepted the nomination) for <political party> in <election year>.” — contract terms ↗Decided by: Democratic Party
“The Source Agency is <political party>.” — contract terms ↗
Does not count
Being nominated but not accepting the nomination does not count.
“The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that <candidate> is the nominee (they are the first person to have been nominated by the party and to have accepted the nomination) for <political party> in <election year>.” — contract terms ↗- Raimondo wins the nomination but declines to accept itour reading
- Raimondo is nominated but someone else is nominated first and acceptsour reading
- Raimondo accepts a nomination after the November 2028 election dayour reading
Watch out
- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
WATCHThe venue keeps a right to review the outcome
“Before Settlement, Kalshi may, at its sole discretion, initiate the Market Outcome Review Process pursuant to Rule 6.3(c) of the Rulebook.” — contract terms ↗NOTEA specific counterparty is named
“If Gina Raimondo wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.” — market rules ↗
Read on 2026-09-10. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only — not a prediction.
The rules, in plain English
If Gina Raimondo wins and accepts the Democratic Party's nomination for President in 2028, the market resolves to Yes.
What the rules leave open
What constitutes formal acceptance of the nomination is not defined.
closest the rules come: “The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that <candidate> is the nominee (they are the first person to have been nominated by the party and to have accepted the nomination) for <political party> in <election year>.” — contract terms ↗How the Source Agency (Democratic Party) will document the nomination and acceptance is not specified.
closest the rules come: “The Expiration Value is the value of the Underlying as documented by the Source Agency on the Expiration Date at the Expiration time.” — contract terms ↗