Kalshi· Elections· open· closes 2028-11-07

Will Hunter Biden be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? — Hunter Biden

Hunter Biden must win the Democratic Party nomination for President in 2028 and accept it.
“If Hunter Biden wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.” — market rules ↗
The other party has to be the Democratic Party
“If Hunter Biden wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.” — market rules ↗
Has to happen before November 1, 2028
“The Expiration Date of the Contract shall be the sooner of the date of the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of an event encompassed by the Payout Criterion for any candidate or the day of the November popular vote for the Presidency in <election year>.” — contract terms ↗
Counts as done when: the first person to have been nominated by the party and to have accepted the nomination
“The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that <candidate> is the nominee (they are the first person to have been nominated by the party and to have accepted the nomination) for <political party> in <election year>.” — contract terms ↗
Decided by: Democratic Party
“The Source Agency is <political party>.” — contract terms ↗

Hunter Biden is nominated but does not accept the nomination
Hunter Biden accepts the nomination but was not the first person nominated by the Democratic Party in 2028
Hunter Biden wins a primary or caucus but someone else gets the nomination
Hunter Biden is nominated after the November 2028 election day

WATCH
Some obvious wins don't count
WATCH
The venue keeps a right to review the outcome
“Before Settlement, Kalshi may, at its sole discretion, initiate the Market Outcome Review Process pursuant to Rule 6.3(c) of the Rulebook.” — contract terms ↗
NOTE
A specific counterparty is named
“If Hunter Biden wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.” — market rules ↗

Read on 2026-09-09 from the documents listed under “What we read”. Facts and gaps only — not a prediction.

What we read

If Hunter Biden wins and accepts the Democratic Party's nomination for President in 2028, the market resolves to Yes.

What counts as official nomination by the Democratic Party (convention vote, party announcement, etc.)
What form of acceptance is required
Whether revisions to the underlying after expiration include corrections to who was actually nominated
How the Source Agency (Democratic Party) will document the nomination