Will Lebron James be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? — LeBron James
Open on Kalshi ↗Yes last at 0¢
The catch
LeBron must be the first person nominated by and to accept the nomination.
“The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that <candidate> is the nominee (they are the first person to have been nominated by the party and to have accepted the nomination) for <political party> in <election year>.” — contract terms ↗
Pays out only if
LeBron James wins and accepts the Democratic Party's presidential nomination in 2028.
“If LeBron James wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.” — market rules ↗The other party has to be the Democratic Party
“If LeBron James wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.” — market rules ↗Decided at the event on November 30, 2028
“The Expiration Date of the Contract shall be the sooner of the date of the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of an event encompassed by the Payout Criterion for any candidate or the day of the November popular vote for the Presidency in <election year>.” — contract terms ↗Counts as done when: first person nominated by and to accept the nomination
“The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that <candidate> is the nominee (they are the first person to have been nominated by the party and to have accepted the nomination) for <political party> in <election year>.” — contract terms ↗Decided by: Democratic Party
“The Source Agency is <political party>.” — contract terms ↗
Does not count
If someone else is nominated and accepts first, even if LeBron is later nominated
“The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that <candidate> is the nominee (they are the first person to have been nominated by the party and to have accepted the nomination) for <political party> in <election year>.” — contract terms ↗- LeBron James is nominated but someone else was nominated and accepted firstour reading
- LeBron James is nominated but does not formally acceptour reading
- LeBron James wins the nomination but accepts after someone else already didour reading
Watch out
- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
WATCHThe venue keeps a right to review the outcome
“Before Settlement, Kalshi may, at its sole discretion, initiate the Market Outcome Review Process pursuant to Rule 6.3(c) of the Rulebook.” — contract terms ↗NOTEA specific counterparty is named
“If LeBron James wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.” — market rules ↗
Read on 2026-09-10. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only — not a prediction.
The rules, in plain English
If LeBron James wins and accepts the Democratic Party's nomination for President in 2028, the market resolves to Yes.
What the rules leave open
What constitutes formal acceptance of the nomination
closest the rules come: “The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that <candidate> is the nominee (they are the first person to have been nominated by the party and to have accepted the nomination) for <political party> in <election year>.” — contract terms ↗Whether revisions to the underlying after expiration include situations where a nominee withdraws and is replaced
closest the rules come: “Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.” — contract terms ↗