Will Mark Cuban be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? — Mark Cuban
Open on Kalshi ↗Yes last at 1¢
Pays out only if
- Mark Cuban must win and accept the Democratic Party's nomination for President in 2028.“If Mark Cuban wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.” — market rules ↗
- The other party has to be the Democratic Party“If Mark Cuban wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.” — market rules ↗
- Has to happen before November 1, 2028“The Expiration Date of the Contract shall be the sooner of the date of the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of an event encompassed by the Payout Criterion for any candidate or the day of the November popular vote for the Presidency in <election year>.” — contract terms ↗
- Counts as done when: the first person to have been nominated by the party and to have accepted the nomination“The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that <candidate> is the nominee (they are the first person to have been nominated by the party and to have accepted the nomination) for <political party> in <election year>.” — contract terms ↗
- Decided by: Democratic Party, The Democratic Party“The Source Agency is <political party>.” — contract terms ↗
Does not count
- Mark Cuban is nominated but does not accept the nomination
- Mark Cuban accepts the nomination but someone else was nominated first
- Mark Cuban wins the Democratic primary but the convention nominates someone else
- Mark Cuban is nominated after the November 2028 election day
Watch out
- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
- WATCHThe venue keeps a right to review the outcome“Before Settlement, Kalshi may, at its sole discretion, initiate the Market Outcome Review Process pursuant to Rule 6.3(c) of the Rulebook.” — contract terms ↗
- NOTEA specific counterparty is named“If Mark Cuban wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.” — market rules ↗
Read on 2026-09-09 from the documents listed under “What we read”. Facts and gaps only — not a prediction.
What we read
- Market rules — the text shown on the market page ↗
- Settlement source — Republican Party ↗
- Settlement source — Democratic Party ↗
- Contract terms — the series contract (PDF) ↗
The rules, in plain English
If Mark Cuban wins and accepts the Democratic Party's nomination for President in 2028, the market resolves to Yes.
What the rules leave open
- What counts as 'winning' the nomination versus being 'nominated by' the party
- Whether revisions to the underlying after expiration include situations where acceptance is withdrawn or nomination is changed
- How the Democratic Party will document the nomination and acceptance