Kalshi· Elections· open· closes 2028-11-07

Will Wes Moore be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? — Wes Moore

Wes Moore must win and accept the Democratic Party's nomination for President in 2028.
“If Wes Moore wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.” — market rules ↗
The other party has to be the Democratic Party
“If Wes Moore wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.” — market rules ↗
Has to happen before November 1, 2028
“The Expiration Date of the Contract shall be the sooner of the date of the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of an event encompassed by the Payout Criterion for any candidate or the day of the November popular vote for the Presidency in <election year>.” — contract terms ↗
Counts as done when: the first person to have been nominated by the party and to have accepted the nomination
“The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that <candidate> is the nominee (they are the first person to have been nominated by the party and to have accepted the nomination) for <political party> in <election year>.” — contract terms ↗
Decided by: Democratic Party
“The Source Agency is <political party>.” — contract terms ↗

Wes Moore wins the nomination but declines to accept it
Wes Moore is nominated but another candidate was nominated and accepted first
Wes Moore accepts a nomination from a different political party
Wes Moore is widely reported as the nominee but the Democratic Party has not officially nominated him

WATCH
Some obvious wins don't count
WATCH
The venue keeps a right to review the outcome
“Before Settlement, Kalshi may, at its sole discretion, initiate the Market Outcome Review Process pursuant to Rule 6.3(c) of the Rulebook.” — contract terms ↗
NOTE
A specific counterparty is named
“If Wes Moore wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.” — market rules ↗

Read on 2026-09-09 from the documents listed under “What we read”. Facts and gaps only — not a prediction.

What we read

If Wes Moore wins and accepts the Democratic Party's nomination for President in 2028, the market resolves to Yes.

What constitutes official 'winning' of the nomination versus being the presumptive nominee
The exact process and timing of 'accepting' the nomination
Whether a nomination at the Democratic National Convention is required or if another process counts
How the Democratic Party will document the nomination as the Source Agency
What happens if the nomination process is delayed or contested