Will Initiative #177 pass? — Amendment 82
Open on Kalshi ↗Yes last at 41¢
Pays out only if
Amendment 82 (Initiative #177) must pass in Colorado.
“If Amendment 82 (Initiative #177) passes in Colorado, then the market resolves to Yes.” — market rules ↗Decided by: official state election websites, official electoral commission or equivalent authority of Colorado, Associated Press, Reuters, Bloomberg News, BBC News, CNN International, The New York Times, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, Politico, Axios, ABC News, CBS News, NBC News, Fox News, MSNBC, official government website of Colorado
“The Source Agencies are, in hierarchical order, the official electoral commission or equivalent authority of <geography>, the Associated Press, Reuters, Bloomberg News, BBC News, CNN International, The New York Times, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, Politico, Axios, ABC News, CBS News, NBC News, Fox News, MSNBC, and the official government website of <geography>.” — contract terms ↗
Does not count
Results showing insufficient votes to meet the required threshold
“The following scenarios do NOT constitute a referendum passing: Results showing insufficient votes to meet the required threshold” — contract terms ↗- Failure to meet minimum turnout requirements where applicable
- Official certification of failure by the electoral authority
- Cancellation or postponement of the referendum before votes are counted
Watch out
- WATCHRules don't say what counts as done
- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
WATCHThe venue keeps a right to review the outcome
“Before Settlement, Kalshi may, at its sole discretion, initiate the Market Outcome Review Process pursuant to Rule 6.3(d) of the Rulebook.” — contract terms ↗
Read on 2026-09-10. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only — not a prediction.
The rules, in plain English
If Amendment 82 (Initiative #177) passes in Colorado, the market resolves to Yes. The market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
What the rules leave open
- What specific vote threshold is required for Amendment 82 to pass (simple majority, supermajority, or other)
Whether there are any minimum voter turnout requirements for Amendment 82
closest the rules come: “Meets any minimum voter turnout requirements if applicable” — contract terms ↗What the specific time period is for when the referendum must pass
closest the rules come: “The Underlying for this Contract is the official final result of <referendum> in <geography> as determined by the relevant electoral authority in, or before, <time period>.” — contract terms ↗