Who will headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show? — Madonna
Open on Kalshi ↗Yes last at 4¢
The catch
If multiple artists are announced together, all resolve Yes.
“If multiple artists are announced at once, then all will resolve to Yes.” · contract terms ↗
Pays out only if
Madonna is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show.
“If Madonna is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.” · market rules ↗Has to happen before February 14, 2027
“If Madonna is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.” · market rules ↗Counts as done when: announcement
“If Madonna is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.” · market rules ↗Decided by: National Football League, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Bloomberg News, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, NBC
“The Source Agencies are the National Football League, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Bloomberg News, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, and NBC.” · contract terms ↗
Does not count
- Madonna performs at the halftime show but is not announced as a headlinerour reading
- Madonna is announced as a special guest or surprise performer but not as headlinerour reading
- Madonna is announced to headline after February 14, 2027our reading
Watch out
- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
WATCHThe venue keeps a right to review the outcome
“Before Settlement, Kalshi may, at its sole discretion, initiate the Market Outcome Review Process pursuant to Rule 6.3(d) of the Rulebook.” · contract terms ↗
Read on 2026-10-02. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only, not a prediction.
The rules, in plain English
If Madonna is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before February 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
What the rules leave open
What counts as 'announced' — does it require an official NFL announcement, or does credible reporting by one of the Source Agencies suffice?
closest the rules come: “The Expiration Value is the value of the Underlying as documented by the Source Agency on the Expiration Date at the Expiration time.” · contract terms ↗If Madonna is initially announced as headliner but later replaced before the Super Bowl, does the market still resolve Yes?
closest the rules come: “Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.” · contract terms ↗