Will Susie WIles leaves Chief of Staff in before 2027? — Susie WIles:: Chief of Staff
Open on Kalshi ↗Yes last at 27¢
The catch
Natural expiration of the Chief of Staff term counts as leaving.
“For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.” · market rules ↗
Pays out only if
Susie Wiles must stop being Chief of Staff before 2027.
“If Susie Wiles leaves as Chief of Staff before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.” · market rules ↗Has to happen before December 31, 2026
“If Susie Wiles leaves as Chief of Staff before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.” · market rules ↗Counts as done when: actual departure date by vacating the role
“Susie Wiles must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.” · market rules ↗Decided by: the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, Susie Wiles, official government records and registries, The White House, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Bloomberg News, Reuters, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, NBC, ABC, CBS, CNBC, Politico, ABC News Australia, Deutsche Welle, BBC News
“The Source Agencies are, in hierarchical order, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which <role> is held, <person>, official government records and registries (e.g., Congressional Record, Federal Register, official state/local government databases), The White House, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Bloomberg News, Reuters, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, NBC, ABC, CBS, CNBC, Politico, ABC News Australia, Deutsche Welle, and BBC News.” · contract terms ↗
Does not count
Temporary leaves of absence
“Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.” · market rules ↗Suspensions
“Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.” · market rules ↗Recusals
“Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.” · market rules ↗- Susie Wiles announces she will leave Chief of Staff in 2027 but the announcement is made in 2026our reading
Watch out
HIGHA Yes here may pay less than a dollar
“If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.” · market rules ↗- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
WATCHThe venue keeps a right to review the outcome
“Before Settlement, Kalshi may, at its sole discretion, initiate the Market Outcome Review Process pursuant to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.” · contract terms ↗
Read on 2026-09-10. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only, not a prediction.
The rules, in plain English
If Susie Wiles leaves as Chief of Staff before 2027, the market resolves to Yes. Susie Wiles must actually depart by vacating the role within the time period. If she dies while holding the role, all contracts may resolve to the last fair price as decided by the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not count as leaving unless she formally and permanently stops holding the position. If she vacates the role and then takes it again, the contract may settle based on the first time she left. For "leave," stopping holding the role counts, including resignation, retirement, removal, term expiration without renewal, recall, or any other way she no longer holds the role—this includes both voluntary early departure and natural expiration of a term.
What the rules leave open
Whether the Chief of Staff position has a fixed term with a natural expiration date
closest the rules come: “For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.” · market rules ↗What happens if Susie Wiles vacates the role and then re-occupies it after the deadline but the initial vacation was before 2027
closest the rules come: “If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.” · market rules ↗