Kalshi· Economics· open· settles 2032-01-09

Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2031 be above 9.0%? — Above 9.0%

We haven't read this market's rules yet. The original text is below.

Too little has been traded here to be worth a read. Bigger markets get read first.

Original rules text

If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2031 is above 9.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. “Year-end” refers exclusively to the December reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. It does not refer to the annual average, the fourth-quarter average, the highest unemployment rate reported during the year, or the latest unemployment rate available as of December 31. The Expiration Value is the first non-preliminary seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics for December 2031. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions will not affect the outcome.

Source ↗

Get the weekly five

The five worst-worded open markets, every Sunday.