Will Apple (AAPL) close above $280 end of September?
The catch
Resolves No if the price exactly equals $280.
“If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".” · market rules ↗
Pays out only if
Apple stock closes above $280 on the final trading day of September 2026.
“This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on the final trading day of September 2026 is higher than the listed price.” · market rules ↗Has to happen during September 2026
“This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on the final trading day of September 2026 is higher than the listed price.” · market rules ↗Counts as done when: Pyth Close value of the 1-minute candle at end of regular trading hours
“For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.” · market rules ↗Decided by: Pyth, primary exchange
“The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.” · market rules ↗
Does not count
Exactly equal to $280
“If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".” · market rules ↗- Apple closes at exactly $280.00our reading
- Apple trades above $280 intraday but closes at or below $280our reading
- Apple closes above $280 on a different day in September but not the final trading dayour reading
Watch out
HIGHA Yes here may pay less than a dollar
“If Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50.” · market rules ↗- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
NOTEAn outside data source decides, with a named backup
“The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.” · market rules ↗
Read on 2026-09-10. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only, not a prediction.
The rules, in plain English
This market resolves to Yes if Apple's closing price on the last trading day of September 2026 is higher than $280. Otherwise it resolves to No. If the price exactly equals $280, the market resolves to No. Closing prices are used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Apple does not trade at all during the regular session on the final trading day of the month, the market resolves 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price is the Pyth Close value of the 1-minute candle for the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the session is shortened (for example, due to a market holiday), the Pyth Close value of the 1-minute candle for the final minute of that shortened session is used. If there is no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle at the end of regular trading hours, the market uses the last valid Pyth price during regular trading hours as the closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange is used. If there is a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action during the time frame, the market resolves based on split-adjusted prices as shown on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution is based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after adjustments have been applied. The resolution source is Pyth, specifically the Close values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Apple available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.
What the rules leave open
How stock split adjustments to the $280 target price will be calculated or rounded
closest the rules come: “The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits.” · market rules ↗