Bitcoin above 76,400 on September 10, 12PM ET?
Open on Polymarket ↗Yes last at 50¢
The catch
Only the 1-hour candle close price on Binance BTC/USDT counts, not other exchanges or pairs.
“Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.” · market rules ↗
Pays out only if
Bitcoin's close price on the 1-hour candle ending September 10, 12PM ET must be higher than $76,400.
“This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title.” · market rules ↗Decided at the event on September 10, 2024
“This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title.” · market rules ↗Counts as done when: The close of the 1-hour candle ending at the specified time
“This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title.” · market rules ↗Decided by: Binance BTC/USDT
“The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.” · market rules ↗
Does not count
Prices from exchanges other than Binance do not count
“Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.” · market rules ↗Trading pairs other than BTC/USDT do not count
“Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.” · market rules ↗- Bitcoin trades above $76,400 on other exchanges but Binance BTC/USDT closes at or below $76,400our reading
- Bitcoin's price is above $76,400 at some point during the hour but the candle closes at or below $76,400our reading
Watch out
WATCHOne publication decides the outcome
“The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.” · market rules ↗- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
Read on 2026-09-10. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only, not a prediction.
The rules, in plain English
This market resolves to Yes if the close price for the BTC/USDT 1-hour candle that ends on September 10 at 12PM ET is higher than $76,400. Otherwise it resolves to No. The resolution source is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT close prices at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with 1h and Candles selected. This market is about the price on Binance BTC/USDT, not other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
What the rules leave open
- What happens if Binance is unavailable or the data is not accessible at the specified time
Whether the year is 2024 or another year (title does not specify year)
closest the rules come: “This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title.” · market rules ↗