Bitcoin above 78,000 on September 10, 10AM ET?
Open on Polymarket ↗Yes last at 3¢
The catch
Only the 1-hour candle close price counts, not the price at any other moment.
“This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title.” · market rules ↗
Pays out only if
Bitcoin's close price on the 1-hour candle ending September 10, 10AM ET must be above $78,000.
“This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title.” · market rules ↗Decided at the event on September 10, 2024
“This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title.” · market rules ↗Counts as done when: The close price of the 1-hour candle ending at the specified time
“This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title.” · market rules ↗Decided by: Binance BTC/USDT
“The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.” · market rules ↗
Does not count
Prices from exchanges other than Binance do not count
“Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.” · market rules ↗Trading pairs other than BTC/USDT do not count
“Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.” · market rules ↗- Bitcoin trades above $78,000 at 10:00 AM ET but the 1-hour candle close is below $78,000our reading
- Bitcoin's price on Coinbase or another exchange is above $78,000 at the close timeour reading
Watch out
HIGHAn outside website decides, with no backup named
“The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.” · market rules ↗- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
Read on 2026-09-10. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only, not a prediction.
The rules, in plain English
This market resolves to Yes if the close price for the BTC/USDT 1-hour candle that ends on September 10 at 10AM ET is higher than $78,000. Otherwise it resolves to No. The resolution source is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT close prices at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with 1h and Candles selected. This market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
What the rules leave open
Whether a price of exactly $78,000.00 counts as 'higher than' the threshold
closest the rules come: “This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title.” · market rules ↗What happens if Binance is unavailable or the data is missing at the resolution time
closest the rules come: “The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.” · market rules ↗