BNB Up or Down - September 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Open on Polymarket ↗Yes last at 51¢
The catch
Resolves on Chainlink TWAP data, not spot price or any exchange price.
“Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.” · market rules ↗
Pays out only if
BNB's time-weighted average price during the specified 15-minute window equals or exceeds the price at the start.
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗Has to happen during September 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗Counts as done when: TWAP calculation for the specified time range
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗Decided by: Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP data stream
“The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd-twap-60s-streams.” · market rules ↗
Does not count
Spot market prices from exchanges or sources other than Chainlink TWAP
“Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.” · market rules ↗- BNB spot price on Binance or other exchanges increases during the window but Chainlink TWAP shows downour reading
- BNB price increases at the end of the window but TWAP for the entire period is lower than starting priceour reading
- Other BNB price pairs (BNB/BTC, BNB/ETH) increase but BNB/USD TWAP does notour reading
Watch out
HIGHAn outside website decides, with no backup named
“The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd-twap-60s-streams.” · market rules ↗- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
Read on 2026-09-10. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only, not a prediction.
The rules, in plain English
This market resolves to "Up" if BNB's time-weighted average price (TWAP) from Chainlink during the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The resolution source is Chainlink's BNB/USD TWAP data stream at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd-twap-60s-streams. This market is about the Chainlink TWAP price, not spot market prices or other sources.
What the rules leave open
What constitutes 'the price at the beginning of that range' - is it the TWAP at 6:00AM exactly, the last price before 6:00AM, or the first price at or after 6:00AM?
closest the rules come: “This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗- Whether the year is 2024 or another year is not specified in the title or rules