Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Open on Polymarket ↗Yes last at 51¢
The catch
Resolves on Chainlink's time-weighted average price, not the spot price at 6:05AM.
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Ethereum, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗
Pays out only if
Ethereum's time-weighted average price during the 5-minute window must be at least as high as the price at 6:00AM ET.
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Ethereum, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗Has to happen during September 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Ethereum, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗Counts as done when: TWAP calculation over the 5-minute window
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Ethereum, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗Decided by: Chainlink ETH/USD TWAP data stream
“The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd-twap-60s-streams.” · market rules ↗
Does not count
Spot prices from sources other than Chainlink TWAP do not count
“Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ETH/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.” · market rules ↗- Ethereum spot price rises during the window but TWAP is lower than starting priceour reading
- Ethereum price at 6:05AM is higher than at 6:00AM but TWAP is lowerour reading
- Other exchanges show Ethereum up but Chainlink TWAP shows downour reading
Watch out
HIGHAn outside website decides, with no backup named
“The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd-twap-60s-streams.” · market rules ↗- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
Read on 2026-09-10. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only, not a prediction.
The rules, in plain English
This market resolves to "Up" if Ethereum's time-weighted average price from Chainlink during the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down". The resolution source is Chainlink's ETH/USD TWAP data stream at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd-twap-60s-streams. This market is about the Chainlink TWAP price, not spot markets or other sources.
What the rules leave open
Whether the year is 2024 or another year is not specified in the title or rules
closest the rules come: “This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Ethereum, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗How the TWAP is calculated (weighting method, sampling frequency) is not defined
closest the rules come: “The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd-twap-60s-streams.” · market rules ↗