Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Open on Polymarket ↗Yes last at 51¢
The catch
Resolves on Chainlink's time-weighted average price, not the spot price at the end.
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Ethereum, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗
Pays out only if
Ethereum's time-weighted average price during the window must be at or above the starting price.
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Ethereum, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗Has to happen during September 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Ethereum, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗Counts as done when: TWAP calculated over the specified time range
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Ethereum, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗Decided by: Chainlink ETH/USD TWAP data stream
“The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd-twap-60s-streams.” · market rules ↗
Does not count
Spot prices from sources other than Chainlink TWAP do not count
“Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ETH/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.” · market rules ↗- Ethereum spot price rises during the window but TWAP stays below starting priceour reading
- Ethereum price on exchanges like Coinbase or Binance goes up but Chainlink TWAP does notour reading
- Final price at 10:45AM is higher than starting price but TWAP is lowerour reading
Watch out
HIGHAn outside website decides, with no backup named
“The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd-twap-60s-streams.” · market rules ↗- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
Read on 2026-09-10. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only, not a prediction.
The rules, in plain English
This market resolves to "Up" if Ethereum's time-weighted average price from Chainlink during the time range in the title is at or above the price at the start of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down". The resolution source is Chainlink's ETH/USD TWAP data stream at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd-twap-60s-streams. This market uses the TWAP Chainlink data stream for ETH/USD, not other sources or spot markets.
What the rules leave open
Whether the year is 2024 or another year is not stated in the title or rules
closest the rules come: “This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Ethereum, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗How the starting price is determined (first tick, price at 10:40:00 exactly, or another method)
closest the rules come: “This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Ethereum, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗