Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Open on Polymarket ↗Yes last at 50¢
The catch
Resolves on Chainlink's TWAP data stream, not spot price or any exchange.
“Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ETH/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.” · market rules ↗
Pays out only if
Ethereum's time-weighted average price during the specified window equals or exceeds the price at the start of that window.
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Ethereum, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗Has to happen during September 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Ethereum, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗Counts as done when: TWAP calculated over the specified time range
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Ethereum, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗Decided by: Chainlink ETH/USD TWAP data stream
“The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd-twap-60s-streams.” · market rules ↗
Does not count
Spot prices from exchanges or sources other than Chainlink TWAP
“Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ETH/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.” · market rules ↗- Ethereum spot price on Coinbase or Binance rises during the window but Chainlink TWAP does notour reading
- Ethereum price spikes briefly but the time-weighted average still falls below the starting priceour reading
- Ethereum price increases on other data feeds but Chainlink TWAP shows a decreaseour reading
Watch out
HIGHAn outside website decides, with no backup named
“The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd-twap-60s-streams.” · market rules ↗- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
Read on 2026-09-10. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only, not a prediction.
The rules, in plain English
This market resolves to "Up" if Ethereum's time-weighted average price from Chainlink during the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down". The resolution source is Chainlink's ETH/USD TWAP data stream at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd-twap-60s-streams. This market is about the Chainlink TWAP price, not spot markets or other sources.
What the rules leave open
What happens if the Chainlink TWAP data stream is unavailable or fails to update during the specified time window
closest the rules come: “The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd-twap-60s-streams.” · market rules ↗How the starting price is determined (first tick, price at 11:15:00 exactly, or another method)
closest the rules come: “This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Ethereum, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗