Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Open on Polymarket ↗Yes last at 50¢
The catch
Resolves on Chainlink TWAP data, not spot price or any exchange price.
“Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.” · market rules ↗
Pays out only if
The Chainlink TWAP price of Hyperliquid during the specified time range must be greater than or equal to the starting price.
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗Has to happen during September 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗Counts as done when: TWAP calculation for the specified time range
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗Decided by: Chainlink, HYPE/USD TWAP data stream
“The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams.” · market rules ↗
Does not count
Spot market prices from exchanges or any source other than the Chainlink TWAP data stream
“Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.” · market rules ↗- Hyperliquid spot price on an exchange increases during the time window but Chainlink TWAP does notour reading
- TWAP of a different Hyperliquid pair or different data stream shows an increaseour reading
- Price increases after 6:15AM ET but not during the specified windowour reading
Watch out
HIGHAn outside website decides, with no backup named
“The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams.” · market rules ↗- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
Read on 2026-09-10. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only, not a prediction.
The rules, in plain English
This market resolves to "Up" if the Chainlink time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid for the time range in the title (September 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET) is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The resolution source is Chainlink's HYPE/USD TWAP data stream at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. This market is about the Chainlink TWAP price, not spot market prices or other sources.
What the rules leave open
What year is September 11 referring to (2025 or another year)?
closest the rules come: “This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗How is the 'price at the beginning of that range' determined - is it the exact price at 6:00:00 AM ET or some other method?
closest the rules come: “This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗