Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Open on Polymarket ↗Yes last at 51¢
The catch
Resolves on Chainlink TWAP data, not spot price or any exchange price.
“Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.” · market rules ↗
Pays out only if
The Chainlink TWAP of Hyperliquid during the specified time range is greater than or equal to the starting price.
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗Has to happen during September 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗Counts as done when: TWAP calculation for the specified time range
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗Decided by: Chainlink, HYPE/USD TWAP data stream
“The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams.” · market rules ↗
Does not count
Spot market prices from exchanges or sources other than Chainlink TWAP
“Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.” · market rules ↗- Hyperliquid spot price on exchanges goes up but Chainlink TWAP goes downour reading
- TWAP increases but by less than required to meet or exceed starting priceour reading
- Price increases during the window but TWAP calculation shows decreaseour reading
Watch out
HIGHAn outside website decides, with no backup named
“The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams.” · market rules ↗- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
Read on 2026-09-10. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only, not a prediction.
The rules, in plain English
This market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of Hyperliquid from Chainlink during September 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that period. Otherwise it resolves to "Down". The resolution source is Chainlink's HYPE/USD TWAP data stream at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. This market uses the Chainlink TWAP data, not spot market prices from other sources.
What the rules leave open
What constitutes 'the price at the beginning of that range' - is it the TWAP value at 10:45AM ET or the last spot price before that time?
closest the rules come: “This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗How the TWAP is calculated over the 15-minute window (weighting methodology, sampling frequency)
closest the rules come: “The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams.” · market rules ↗- What happens if Chainlink data is unavailable or incomplete for the specified time range