Israel military action against Lebanon on September 24?

The rules, in plain English

This market resolves to Yes if Israel takes a qualifying military action against Lebanon on September 24, Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise it resolves to No. A qualifying military action means an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, started by Israel, that directly hits Lebanon. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles like cruise or ballistic missiles. The following do not count as qualifying military actions: munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; surface-to-air missile strikes; small-arms fire; ground incursions; cyber operations; naval gunfire and artillery fire; howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (like MLRS systems); minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed. Any munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not count as a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Lebanon do not count as a military action regardless of any damage. Lebanon means the land territory of Lebanon, including its internal waters. Lebanon's maritime territory and airspace are not included. Where borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Lebanon as of market creation will count. Whether a qualifying military action occurred, who did it, and when it happened will be determined primarily based on a consensus of information from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict about whether it happened, who did it, or when it happened, this market will stay open until the earlier of: (i) confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing based on a consensus of information from the resolution sources or (ii) 3 full calendar days (Israel Daylight Time) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would go past the end date, this market will stay open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be decided based on all information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or evidence will control where it is contradicted by all the information taken together. The resolution sources for this market are official information from the governments and militaries of Israel and Lebanon and a consensus of credible reporting.

What the rules leave open

• What distinguishes 'minor' surface-to-surface strikes from qualifying ones (e.g., what range or munition size threshold separates them)source

  closest the rules come: “Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;” — market rules ↗
• Whether the year is 2024 or another year (the market title does not specify)