Sharpbook
Polymarket· finance· open· settles 2026-09-30

Will Micron (MU) close above $1,060 end of September?

Open on Polymarket ↗Yes last at 30¢

The catch

  • The threshold is $1,060, but Micron's current price is around $100—this appears to be a data error.
    “This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) on the final trading day of September 2026 is higher than the listed price.” · market rules ↗

Pays out only if

  • Micron Technology stock (MU) closes above $1,060 on the last trading day of September 2026.
    “This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) on the final trading day of September 2026 is higher than the listed price.” · market rules ↗
  • Has to happen during September 2026
    “This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) on the final trading day of September 2026 is higher than the listed price.” · market rules ↗
  • Counts as done when: Pyth Close value of the 1-minute candle at end of regular trading
    “For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.” · market rules ↗
  • Decided by: Pyth, primary exchange
    “The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MU%2FUSD.” · market rules ↗

Does not count

  • If the closing price exactly equals $1,060, the market resolves to No.
    “If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".” · market rules ↗
  • Micron closes above $1,060 but on a day other than the final trading day of September 2026our reading
  • Micron closes at exactly $1,060 on the final trading dayour reading
  • Micron's intraday high exceeds $1,060 but the closing price does notour reading

Watch out

  • HIGHA Yes here may pay less than a dollar
    “If Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50.” · market rules ↗
  • WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
  • NOTEAn outside data source decides, with a named backup
    “The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MU%2FUSD.” · market rules ↗

Read on 2026-09-10. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only, not a prediction.

The rules, in plain English

This market resolves to Yes if Micron Technology stock (MU) closes above $1,060 on the last trading day of September 2026. Otherwise it resolves to No. If the closing price exactly equals $1,060, the market resolves to No. Closing prices are taken exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Micron does not trade at all during the regular session on the final trading day of the month, the market resolves 50-50. For a normal full trading session, the closing price is the Pyth Close value of the 1-minute candle for the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the session is shortened (like for a market holiday), the Pyth Close value of the 1-minute candle for the final minute of that shortened session is used. If there is no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market uses the last valid Pyth price during regular trading hours as the closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical problem, the official closing price published by the primary exchange will be used. If there is a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action during the time frame, the market resolves based on split-adjusted prices as shown on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution is based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after adjustments have been applied. The resolution source is Pyth, specifically the Close values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Micron Technology (MU) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MU%2FUSD.

What the rules leave open

  • What is the primary exchange for Micron Technology stock?
    closest the rules come: “For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.” · market rules ↗