Sharpbook
Polymarket· finance· open· settles 2026-09-11

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of September 7 above $255?

Open on Polymarket ↗Yes last at 9¢

The catch

  • The market resolves No if NVDA closes exactly at $255.
    “If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".” · market rules ↗

Pays out only if

  • NVIDIA stock must close above $255 on the final trading day of the week of September 7.
    “This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price.” · market rules ↗
  • Has to happen during week of September 7
    “This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price.” · market rules ↗
  • Counts as done when: Pyth Close value of the 1-minute candle at the end of regular trading
    “For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.” · market rules ↗
  • Decided by: Pyth, primary exchange
    “The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.” · market rules ↗

Does not count

  • Exactly equal to $255 does not count as above
    “If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".” · market rules ↗
  • NVDA closes at exactly $255.00our reading
  • NVDA closes above $255 on a different day during the week but not on the final trading dayour reading
  • NVDA closes above $255 in after-hours trading but not during regular hoursour reading

Watch out

  • HIGHA Yes here may pay less than a dollar
    “If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.” · market rules ↗
  • WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
  • NOTEAn outside data source decides, with a named backup
    “The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.” · market rules ↗

Read on 2026-09-10. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only, not a prediction.

The rules, in plain English

This market resolves to Yes if NVIDIA's closing price on the final trading day of the week of September 7 (normally Friday) is higher than $255. Otherwise it resolves to No. If the closing price equals exactly $255, the market resolves to No. Closing prices are used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If NVIDIA does not trade at all during the regular session on the final trading day of the week, the market resolves 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price is the Pyth Close value of the 1-minute candle for the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the session is shortened (for example, due to a market holiday), the Pyth Close value of the 1-minute candle for the final minute of that shortened session is used. If there is no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle at the end of regular trading hours, the market uses the last valid Pyth price during regular trading hours as the closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange is used. If there is a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action during the listed time frame, the market resolves based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution is based on the historical price data shown on Pyth after adjustments have been applied. The resolution source is Pyth, specifically the Close values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.

What the rules leave open

  • Which specific date is the 'final day of trading of the week of September 7' - is it September 13, 2024 (Friday)?
    closest the rules come: “This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price.” · market rules ↗