NYA (NYA) Up or Down on September 11?
The catch
Equal prices resolve 50-50, not as a loss for either side.
“If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.” · market rules ↗
Pays out only if
The NYSE Composite Index (NYA) closes higher on September 11, 2026 than on the most recent prior trading day.
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the official NYSE Composite Index closing price for NYA (NYA) on Friday, September 11, 2026 is higher than the official NYSE Composite Index closing price for NYA on the most recent prior trading day.” · market rules ↗Decided at the event on September 11, 2026
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the official NYSE Composite Index closing price for NYA (NYA) on Friday, September 11, 2026 is higher than the official NYSE Composite Index closing price for NYA on the most recent prior trading day.” · market rules ↗Counts as done when: Official closing price published by NYSE Composite Index
“If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by NYSE Composite Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.” · market rules ↗Decided by: Wall Street Journal
“The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices".” · market rules ↗
Does not count
- NYA closes higher on September 11 but the prices are equal after rounding to the nearest centour reading
- NYA closes higher intraday but ends exactly equal to the prior day's closeour reading
- NYA closes higher compared to September 10 specifically, but September 10 was not a trading dayour reading
Watch out
HIGHA Yes here may pay less than a dollar
“If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.” · market rules ↗WATCHOne publication decides the outcome
“The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices".” · market rules ↗- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
Read on 2026-09-10. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only, not a prediction.
The rules, in plain English
This market resolves to "Up" if the official NYSE Composite Index closing price for NYA on Friday, September 11, 2026 is higher than the official closing price on the most recent prior trading day. This market resolves to "Down" if the September 11, 2026 closing price is lower than the most recent prior trading day's closing price. For example, a market on Monday would normally compare to the previous Friday, unless that Friday was a market holiday, in which case it would use Thursday or the next most recent trading day. If the two closing prices are exactly equal, this market resolves 50-50. All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If NYA does not trade at all during the regular session, the market resolves 50-50. If either relevant day is shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by NYSE Composite Index for that shortened session will still be used. If either relevant day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices" at the provided URLs.
What the rules leave open
Whether the Wall Street Journal's published Close values are considered the official NYSE Composite Index closing price, or if WSJ is merely the source for verifying the official NYSE price.
closest the rules come: “The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices".” · market rules ↗