Solana Up or Down - September 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Open on Polymarket ↗Yes last at 51¢
The catch
Resolves on Chainlink's TWAP data stream, not spot price or any exchange.
“Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.” · market rules ↗
Pays out only if
Solana's time-weighted average price during the specified window must be at or above the price at the start.
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗Has to happen during September 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗Counts as done when: TWAP value from Chainlink data stream for the specified time range
“The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams.” · market rules ↗Decided by: Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP data stream
“The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams.” · market rules ↗
Does not count
Spot market prices from exchanges or sources other than Chainlink TWAP
“Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.” · market rules ↗- Solana's spot price on Binance or Coinbase increases during the window but Chainlink TWAP shows a decreaseour reading
- Solana price increases on most exchanges but Chainlink's TWAP calculation shows it flat or downour reading
- The TWAP is higher than the starting price but Chainlink data stream is unavailable or delayedour reading
Watch out
HIGHAn outside website decides, with no backup named
“The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams.” · market rules ↗- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
Read on 2026-09-10. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only, not a prediction.
The rules, in plain English
This market resolves to "Up" if Solana's time-weighted average price (TWAP) from Chainlink during September 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that period. Otherwise it resolves to "Down". The resolution source is Chainlink's SOL/USD TWAP data stream at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams. This market is about the Chainlink TWAP data stream price, not spot market prices from other sources.
What the rules leave open
What happens if the Chainlink data stream is unavailable, delayed, or shows no data for the specified time range
closest the rules come: “The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams.” · market rules ↗What exact timestamp defines 'the beginning of that range' - is it 10:15:00 AM ET or some other moment
closest the rules come: “This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗Whether the TWAP is calculated over the entire 15-minute window or uses specific sampling intervals
closest the rules come: “This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗