Solana Up or Down - September 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Open on Polymarket ↗Yes last at 51¢
The catch
Resolves on Chainlink's time-weighted average price, not the spot price at the end of the period.
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗
Pays out only if
Solana's time-weighted average price during the specified period must be at least as high as the price at the start.
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗Has to happen during September 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗Counts as done when: TWAP calculated over the specified time range
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗Decided by: Chainlink, SOL/USD TWAP data stream
“The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams.” · market rules ↗
Does not count
Spot market prices from sources other than Chainlink TWAP
“Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.” · market rules ↗- Solana's spot price on major exchanges rises during the period but TWAP does not exceed starting priceour reading
- Solana price at 11:15AM ET is higher than at 11:10AM ET but TWAP is lower than starting priceour reading
- Solana price increases on Coinbase or Binance but Chainlink TWAP shows declineour reading
Watch out
HIGHAn outside website decides, with no backup named
“The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams.” · market rules ↗- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
Read on 2026-09-10. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only, not a prediction.
The rules, in plain English
This market resolves to "Up" if Solana's time-weighted average price from Chainlink during the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down". The resolution source is Chainlink's SOL/USD TWAP data stream at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams. This market is about the Chainlink TWAP price, not spot markets or other sources.
What the rules leave open
What exact timestamp defines 'the beginning of that range' - is it 11:10:00 AM ET or some other moment?
closest the rules come: “This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗Whether the TWAP is calculated only during the 11:10-11:15 window or uses a broader time range
closest the rules come: “This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗What happens if Chainlink data stream is unavailable or shows no data for the specified period
closest the rules come: “The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams.” · market rules ↗