Will Alex R. Hibbert be the live-action Miles Morales?
The catch
Only the first official announcement counts; later castings are ignored.
“This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will play Miles Morales in a live-action feature film by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.” · market rules ↗
Pays out only if
Alex R. Hibbert is officially announced to play Miles Morales in a live-action feature film.
“This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will play Miles Morales in a live-action feature film by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.” · market rules ↗Has to happen before January 1, 2028
“This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will play Miles Morales in a live-action feature film by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.” · market rules ↗Counts as done when: first official announcement
“This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will play Miles Morales in a live-action feature film by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.” · market rules ↗Decided by: Sony Pictures, Marvel, their parent companies, another authorized representative of the Spider-Man franchise, consensus of credible reporting
“The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Sony Pictures, Marvel, their parent companies, or another authorized representative of the Spider-Man franchise. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.” · market rules ↗
Does not count
Actors announced for animated films or TV series
“Actors announced to play the character in animated films or TV series will not qualify. Only live-action feature film castings will qualify.” · market rules ↗Actors cast to portray a younger, older, alternate, or variant version of the character
“Actors cast to portray a younger, older, alternate, or variant version of the character, and actors serving as body doubles, stunt doubles, or voice doubles, will not qualify.” · market rules ↗Actors serving as body doubles, stunt doubles, or voice doubles
“Actors cast to portray a younger, older, alternate, or variant version of the character, and actors serving as body doubles, stunt doubles, or voice doubles, will not qualify.” · market rules ↗Secondary actors when more than one actor is announced for the same film
“If more than one actor is announced to portray Miles Morales in the same film, only the actor cast in the principal role of the character will qualify.” · market rules ↗
Watch out
- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
Read on 2026-09-11. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only, not a prediction.
The rules, in plain English
This market resolves based on the first official announcement of who will play Miles Morales in a live-action feature film by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Actors announced for animated films or TV series do not count. Only live-action feature film castings count. If multiple actors are announced for the same film, only the actor in the principal role counts. Actors playing younger, older, alternate, or variant versions do not count. Body doubles, stunt doubles, and voice doubles do not count. If no actor is announced as live-action Miles Morales within the timeframe, this market resolves to "No actor chosen by end of 2027". The primary resolution source is official information from Sony Pictures, Marvel, their parent companies, or another authorized Spider-Man franchise representative. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
What the rules leave open
What qualifies as the 'principal role' when multiple actors are announced simultaneously
closest the rules come: “If more than one actor is announced to portray Miles Morales in the same film, only the actor cast in the principal role of the character will qualify.” · market rules ↗Whether a streaming-exclusive film counts as a 'feature film'