Will Andrew Kang appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
Open on Polymarket ↗Yes last at 42¢
The catch
Only a full episode counts; previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material are excluded.
“Previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.” — market rules ↗
Pays out only if
A new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring Andrew Kang must be publicly released.
“This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.” — market rules ↗Has to happen before January 1, 2027
“This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.” — market rules ↗Counts as done when: full episode published and available to the general public
“"Released" means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show's official feed).” — market rules ↗Decided by: official UpOnly podcast channels, consensus of credible public reporting
“The resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.” — market rules ↗
Does not count
Previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count
“Previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.” — market rules ↗- Andrew Kang appears in a preview clip or teaser for an upcoming episode but the full episode is not released by the deadlineour reading
- Andrew Kang appears on the UpOnly podcast but the episode is released on January 1, 2027 or laterour reading
- Andrew Kang appears in a short promotional segment but not as a featured guest in a full episodeour reading
Watch out
- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
Read on 2026-09-10. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only — not a prediction.
The rules, in plain English
This market resolves to Yes if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring Andrew Kang is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Released means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform like YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show's official feed. Previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count. The resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.
What the rules leave open
What qualifies as 'featuring' Andrew Kang - must he be the primary guest, or does any appearance count?
closest the rules come: “This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.” — market rules ↗Whether Andrew Kang must appear for a minimum duration or in a minimum capacity to count as 'featuring'
closest the rules come: “This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.” — market rules ↗Whether the episode must be newly recorded or if a re-release of an old episode counts as a 'new episode'
closest the rules come: “This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.” — market rules ↗