Will "Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Open on Polymarket ↗Yes last at 52¢
The catch
Only resolves YES if the show ranks #1 on the specific Tuesday update, not any other week.
“Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).” — market rules ↗
Pays out only if
Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1 must be the #1 US Netflix show on the September 15, 2026 update.
“This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show.” — market rules ↗Decided at the event on September 15, 2026
“Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).” — market rules ↗Counts as done when: The September 15, 2026 3:00 PM ET update on top10.netflix.com
“Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).” — market rules ↗Decided by: top10.netflix.com
“This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show.” — market rules ↗
Does not count
If the show ties for #1 but another show's title comes first alphabetically, it does not count.
“If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.” — market rules ↗- The show is #1 on a different week's updateour reading
- The show is #2 or lower on the September 15 updateour reading
- The show ties for #1 but loses alphabetically to another showour reading
Watch out
WATCHOne publication decides the outcome
“This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show.” — market rules ↗- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
Read on 2026-09-10. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only — not a prediction.
The rules, in plain English
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, at 3:00 PM ET. This update will show viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show is ranked #1 on the US Netflix list in that update. If multiple shows tie for #1, the market will resolve based on the show whose title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not happen by September 18, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
What the rules leave open
Whether the exact title must match character-for-character or if minor variations count.
closest the rules come: “This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show.” — market rules ↗What happens if Netflix changes its ranking methodology or stops publishing the Top 10 list entirely before the deadline.
closest the rules come: “If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".” — market rules ↗