Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 99.20 Week of September 7 2026?
The catch
Only 1-minute candle highs/lows from Pyth count, not daily highs or other sources.
“This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of September 7 2026, any 1-minute candle for the US Dollar Index (DXY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price.” · market rules ↗
Pays out only if
The US Dollar Index (DXY) must reach a high of 99.20 or above on any 1-minute candle during the week of September 7, 2026.
“This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of September 7 2026, any 1-minute candle for the US Dollar Index (DXY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price.” · market rules ↗Has to happen during the week of September 7 2026
“Under the standard schedule, the week of September 7 2026 consists of the Monday through Friday trading days beginning at 5:00:00 PM ET on the Sunday immediately preceding September 7 2026 and ending at 5:00:00 PM ET on the following Friday.” · market rules ↗Counts as done when: 1-minute candle high or low price as published by Pyth
“This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of September 7 2026, any 1-minute candle for the US Dollar Index (DXY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price.” · market rules ↗Decided by: Pyth, ICE Futures U.S.
“The resolution source for this market is Pyth, specifically the US Dollar Index (DXY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://app.pyth.com/explore/FX.USDXY, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.” · market rules ↗
Does not count
If DXY does not trade at all during the listed time frame, the market resolves No.
“If the US Dollar Index (DXY) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".” · market rules ↗- DXY reaches 99.20 on a 5-minute or hourly candle but not on any 1-minute candleour reading
- DXY reaches 99.20 on a different data source (Bloomberg, TradingView) but not on Pythour reading
- DXY reaches 99.20 during the week but Pyth rounds the displayed value differentlyour reading
Watch out
- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
NOTEAn outside data source decides, with a named backup
“The resolution source for this market is Pyth, specifically the US Dollar Index (DXY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://app.pyth.com/explore/FX.USDXY, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.” · market rules ↗
Read on 2026-09-10. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only, not a prediction.
The rules, in plain English
This market resolves to Yes if any 1-minute candle for the US Dollar Index (DXY) during the week of September 7, 2026 has a high price at or above 99.20 (or a low price at or below the listed price for low markets). Otherwise it resolves to No. Trading days follow the Pyth schedule. Under the standard schedule (Eastern Time), trading runs continuously from 5:00 PM Sunday through 5:00 PM Friday, except for holidays or special sessions listed on Pyth. Under the standard New York 5:00 PM FX close convention, each trading day begins at 5:00 PM ET on the prior calendar day and ends at 5:00 PM ET on that calendar day. The week of September 7, 2026 consists of Monday through Friday trading days beginning at 5:00 PM ET on the Sunday immediately before September 7, 2026 and ending at 5:00 PM ET on the following Friday. Prices are used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If DXY does not trade at all during the listed time frame, the market resolves to No. If there is an index methodology change, feed change, or similar structural modification during the listed time frame, the market resolves based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source is Pyth, specifically the US Dollar Index (DXY) high and low prices at https://app.pyth.com/explore/FX.USDXY, with chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high and low prices published by ICE Futures U.S. for the most actively traded (by open interest) ICE U.S. Dollar Index futures contract (ticker DX) as of the relevant business day may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. Official daily high and low prices are the values shown in the High and Low columns of the ICE Futures U.S. Futures Daily Market Report for US Dollar Index for the relevant contract month on each relevant trading day. This report may be accessed by selecting End of Day Report under the Reports tab of the product page at https://www.ice.com/products/194/US-Dollar-Index-Futures.
What the rules leave open
Whether 'after market creation' excludes any specific time before the week begins, or if the entire week is eligible regardless of when the market was created.
closest the rules come: “This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of September 7 2026, any 1-minute candle for the US Dollar Index (DXY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price.” · market rules ↗What happens if Pyth changes its 1-minute candle methodology or data feed during the week.
closest the rules come: “In the event of an index methodology change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.” · market rules ↗