Will Ethereum dip to $2,450 on September 10?
Open on Polymarket ↗Yes last at 71¢
The catch
Only the 1-minute candle low price on Binance ETH/USDT counts, not spot or other exchanges.
“Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.” — market rules ↗
Pays out only if
Ethereum's price reaches $2,450 or lower on Binance during September 10.
“This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title.” — market rules ↗Has to happen during September 10
“This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title.” — market rules ↗Counts as done when: Any 1-minute candle low price equal to or below $2,450
“This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title.” — market rules ↗Decided by: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data
“The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.” — market rules ↗
Does not count
Prices from exchanges other than Binance
“Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.” — market rules ↗Trading pairs other than ETH/USDT
“Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.” — market rules ↗Spot market prices
“Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.” — market rules ↗- Ethereum reaches $2,450 on a different exchange but not on Binanceour reading
Watch out
WATCHOne publication decides the outcome
“The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.” — market rules ↗- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
Read on 2026-09-10. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only — not a prediction.
The rules, in plain English
This market resolves to Yes if any 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) on Binance on September 10, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET, has a low price of $2,450 or lower. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The resolution source is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT low prices at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart set to 1-minute candles. Only price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair counts. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets do not count.
What the rules leave open
Which year's September 10 is meant (though context suggests 2024)
closest the rules come: “This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title.” — market rules ↗What happens if Binance data is unavailable or the trading pair is delisted
closest the rules come: “The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.” — market rules ↗