Will JD Vance say "Tax" 7+ times during RNC Convention?
The catch
Only remarks during the scheduled September 9, 2026 RNC Convention appearance count.
“This market is explicitly about JD Vance's remarks at the RNC Convention scheduled for September 9, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.” — market rules ↗
Pays out only if
JD Vance says the word "Tax" 7 or more times during his RNC Convention remarks on September 9, 2026.
“This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during the specified appearance.” — market rules ↗Decided at the event on September 11, 2026
“If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".” — market rules ↗Counts as done when: When JD Vance completes his remarks at the RNC Convention on September 9, 2026
“JD Vance is scheduled to give remarks at the RNC Convention on September 9, 2026 at 10 AM ET.” — market rules ↗Decided by: audio/video of the event
“The resolution source will be audio/video of the event.” — market rules ↗
Does not count
Speeches, events, or comments outside the scheduled September 9, 2026 RNC Convention event
“Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.” — market rules ↗- JD Vance says "Tax" 7+ times in other speeches or events around the RNC Convention but not during the scheduled September 9, 2026 appearanceour reading
- JD Vance says "Tax" 6 times during the scheduled appearance (one short of the threshold)our reading
- JD Vance says variations like "taxes" or "taxation" 7+ times but the word "Tax" itself fewer than 7 timesour reading
Watch out
WATCHOne publication decides the outcome
“The resolution source will be audio/video of the event.” — market rules ↗- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
NOTEPays out on special terms as well as the trigger
“If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".” — market rules ↗
Read on 2026-09-10. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only — not a prediction.
The rules, in plain English
JD Vance is scheduled to speak at the RNC Convention on September 9, 2026 at 10 AM ET. This market resolves to Yes if JD Vance says the listed term during that appearance. Otherwise, it resolves to No. This market is only about JD Vance's remarks at the RNC Convention scheduled for September 9, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments outside of this scheduled event do not count. If the event is definitively cancelled or is not available by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to Yes and all other brackets will resolve to No. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
What the rules leave open
Whether variations of the word "Tax" (such as "taxes", "taxation", "taxed", "taxing") count toward the 7+ threshold, or only the exact word "Tax"
closest the rules come: “This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during the specified appearance.” — market rules ↗Whether the count is case-sensitive ("Tax" vs "tax" vs "TAX")
closest the rules come: “This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during the specified appearance.” — market rules ↗What happens if the event is rescheduled to a different date rather than cancelled
closest the rules come: “If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".” — market rules ↗