Sharpbook
Polymarket· finance· open· settles 2026-10-01

Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) hit (HIGH) $190 in September?

Open on Polymarket ↗Yes last at 50¢

The catch

  • Only regular trading hours count; pre-market and after-hours prices are excluded.
    “Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.” — market rules ↗

Pays out only if

  • MicroStrategy stock must reach a high or low price of $190 or beyond during September 2026.
    “This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for MicroStrategy (MSTR) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price.” — market rules ↗
  • Has to happen during September 2026
    “This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for MicroStrategy (MSTR) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price.” — market rules ↗
  • Counts as done when: Any 1-minute candle showing high/low price at or beyond $190
    “This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for MicroStrategy (MSTR) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price.” — market rules ↗
  • Decided by: Pyth
    “The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the MicroStrategy (MSTR) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSTR%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.” — market rules ↗

Does not count

  • Prices occurring during pre-market trading
    “Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.” — market rules ↗
  • Prices occurring during after-hours trading
    “Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.” — market rules ↗
  • MSTR hits $190 during pre-market or after-hours trading but not during regular hoursour reading
  • MSTR hits $190 in October 2026 (after September ends)our reading

Watch out

  • WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
  • NOTEAn outside data source decides, with a named backup
    “The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the MicroStrategy (MSTR) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSTR%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.” — market rules ↗

Read on 2026-09-10. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only — not a prediction.

The rules, in plain English

This market resolves to Yes if at any time during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for MicroStrategy stock has a high or low price equal to or beyond the listed price of $190 (above for high prices, below for low prices). Otherwise it resolves to No. Only prices during regular trading hours (typically 9:30 AM to 4:00 PM ET) on the primary exchange count. Pre-market and after-hours prices do not qualify. Prices are used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If there is a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action during September 2026, the market resolves based on split-adjusted prices as shown on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. The resolution source is Pyth, specifically the MicroStrategy high and low prices at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSTR%2FUSD, using 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles can be accessed by adding a Unix timestamp to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

What the rules leave open

  • Whether the market is looking for a high price of $190 or above, or a low price of $190 or below, or either condition
    closest the rules come: “This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for MicroStrategy (MSTR) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price.” — market rules ↗