Sharpbook
Polymarket· finance· open· settles 2026-10-01

Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $40 in September?

Open on Polymarket ↗Yes last at 11¢

The catch

  • Only the Low price of 1-minute candles counts, not the High price.
    “This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price.” — market rules ↗

Pays out only if

  • Rocket Lab USA stock's Low price on a 1-minute candle reaches $40 or below during September 2026.
    “This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price.” — market rules ↗
  • Has to happen during September 2026
    “This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price.” — market rules ↗
  • Counts as done when: 1-minute candle Low price as published by Pyth
    “The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.RKLB%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.” — market rules ↗
  • Decided by: Pyth, primary exchange
    “The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.RKLB%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.” — market rules ↗

Does not count

  • Prices during pre-market or after-hours trading do not count
    “Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.” — market rules ↗
  • The stock's High price reaches $40 or above (but Low price doesn't reach $40 or below)our reading
  • The stock reaches $40 during pre-market or after-hours trading but not during regular hoursour reading
  • The stock reaches $40 on a timeframe other than 1-minute candles (e.g., daily chart shows $40 but no 1-minute candle does)our reading

Watch out

  • WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
  • NOTEAn outside data source decides, with a named backup
    “The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.RKLB%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.” — market rules ↗

Read on 2026-09-10. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only — not a prediction.

The rules, in plain English

This market resolves to Yes if, at any time after the market is created and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for Rocket Lab USA stock has a Low price at or below $40 (or a High price at or above the listed price for High markets). Otherwise it resolves to No. Only prices during regular trading hours (typically 9:30 AM to 4:00 PM ET) on the primary exchange count. Pre-market and after-hours prices don't qualify. Prices are used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If there's a stock split or reverse stock split during the time period, the market resolves based on split-adjusted prices shown on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally for any stock splits. The resolution source is Pyth, specifically the Rocket Lab USA High and Low prices at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.RKLB%2FUSD, using 1-minute candle settings. Historical 1-minute candles can be accessed by adding a Unix timestamp to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage or technical problem that prevents checking the 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price from the primary exchange will be used to determine if the listed price was reached during that trading session.

What the rules leave open

  • Whether the market resolves Yes if the Low price is exactly $40.00 or only if it goes below $40
    closest the rules come: “This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price.” — market rules ↗