Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 35 by September 30?
Open on Polymarket ↗Yes last at 17¢
The catch
Only the "Low" value of 1-minute candles counts, not the actual traded price.
“This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Volmex 1 minute candle for the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index (BVIV) between the creation of this market and 23:59 ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" or "Low" value equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed value.” · market rules ↗
Pays out only if
The Bitcoin Volatility Index (BVIV) must show a Low value of 35 or below on any 1-minute candle.
“This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Volmex 1 minute candle for the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index (BVIV) between the creation of this market and 23:59 ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" or "Low" value equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed value.” · market rules ↗Has to happen during between the creation of this market and 23:59 ET on September 30
“This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Volmex 1 minute candle for the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index (BVIV) between the creation of this market and 23:59 ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" or "Low" value equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed value.” · market rules ↗Counts as done when: When a 1-minute candle shows a Low value of 35 or below
“This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Volmex 1 minute candle for the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index (BVIV) between the creation of this market and 23:59 ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" or "Low" value equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed value.” · market rules ↗Decided by: Volmex, Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index chart at https://charts.volmex.finance/symbol/BVIV
“The resolution source for this market is Volmex, specifically the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index "High" and "Low" values available at https://charts.volmex.finance/symbol/BVIV, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.” · market rules ↗
Does not count
Values from other exchanges or different indexes do not count
“Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.” · market rules ↗- The index briefly touches 35 intraday but the 1-minute candle Low value stays above 35our reading
- A different Bitcoin volatility index (not BVIV) dips to 35our reading
- The BVIV dips to 35 on a different timeframe chart (5m, 15m, 1h) but not on the 1m candleour reading
Watch out
HIGHAn outside website decides, with no backup named
“The resolution source for this market is Volmex, specifically the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index "High" and "Low" values available at https://charts.volmex.finance/symbol/BVIV, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.” · market rules ↗- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
Read on 2026-09-10. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only, not a prediction.
The rules, in plain English
This market resolves to Yes immediately if any 1-minute candle for the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index (BVIV) between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on September 30 shows a Low value at or below 35. Otherwise it resolves to No. The resolution source is Volmex, specifically the BVIV chart at https://charts.volmex.finance/symbol/BVIV with 1-minute candle settings. Only data from the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index chart counts. Values from other exchanges or different indexes do not count.
What the rules leave open
Whether the year is 2024 or another year (title says 'September 30' without specifying year)
closest the rules come: “This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Volmex 1 minute candle for the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index (BVIV) between the creation of this market and 23:59 ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" or "Low" value equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed value.” · market rules ↗- What happens if the Volmex chart is unavailable or shows no data during the period