WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 11?
The catch
Resolves based on comparison to the prior trading day, not a fixed baseline price.
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures on September 11, 2026, is higher than the Close price for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures on the most recent prior trading day.” · market rules ↗
Pays out only if
The WTI Crude Oil Active Month close price on September 11, 2026 is higher than the prior trading day's close.
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures on September 11, 2026, is higher than the Close price for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures on the most recent prior trading day.” · market rules ↗Decided at the event on September 11, 2026
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures on September 11, 2026, is higher than the Close price for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures on the most recent prior trading day.” · market rules ↗Counts as done when: Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle at the end of regular trading hours
“For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.” · market rules ↗Decided by: Pyth
“The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candles for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI.” · market rules ↗
Does not count
If the two closing prices are exactly equal, the market resolves 50-50, not Up or Down.
“If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, if the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the relevant trading session, or if the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, the market will resolve 50-50.” · market rules ↗If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the relevant trading session, the market resolves 50-50, not Up or Down.
“If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, if the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the relevant trading session, or if the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, the market will resolve 50-50.” · market rules ↗If September 11, 2026 is not a trading day, the market resolves 50-50, not Up or Down.
“If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, if the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the relevant trading session, or if the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, the market will resolve 50-50.” · market rules ↗- WTI Crude Oil price increases compared to a week earlier, but decreases compared to the immediately prior trading dayour reading
Watch out
HIGHA Yes here may pay less than a dollar
“If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, if the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the relevant trading session, or if the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, the market will resolve 50-50.” · market rules ↗- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
NOTEAn outside data source decides, with a named backup
“The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candles for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI.” · market rules ↗
Read on 2026-09-10. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only, not a prediction.
The rules, in plain English
This market resolves to "Up" if the closing price for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures on September 11, 2026, is higher than the closing price for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures on the most recent prior trading day. This market resolves to "Down" if the closing price for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures on September 11, 2026, is lower than the closing price for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures on the most recent prior trading day. For example, a market on Monday would normally compare to the previous Friday's closing price, unless Friday was not a trading day, in which case it would compare to the next most recent prior trading day. For a standard full trading session, the closing price is the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle for the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. Closing prices are used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the two closing prices are exactly equal, if the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the relevant trading session, or if the listed date is not a trading day, the market resolves 50-50. Trading days are determined according to the applicable trading hours schedule for the underlying market. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. According to CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (meaning for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. Both closing prices will reference the same underlying contract, specifically the contract that is considered the Active Month at the end of the trading session on the specified date. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle at the end of regular trading hours, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during regular trading hours as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official settlement price published by the primary exchange will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candles for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.