XRP Up or Down - September 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Open on Polymarket ↗Yes last at 51¢
The catch
Resolves on Chainlink's TWAP data stream, not spot price or exchange prices.
“Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair XRP/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.” · market rules ↗
Pays out only if
The time-weighted average price of XRP during the specified period equals or exceeds the price at the start.
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of XRP, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗Has to happen during September 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of XRP, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗Counts as done when: TWAP value from Chainlink data stream for the specified period
“The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd-twap-60s-streams.” · market rules ↗Decided by: Chainlink XRP/USD TWAP data stream
“The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd-twap-60s-streams.” · market rules ↗
Does not count
Spot market prices from exchanges or other sources
“Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair XRP/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.” · market rules ↗- XRP spot price on Coinbase or Binance rises during the period but Chainlink TWAP does notour reading
- XRP price spikes briefly but the time-weighted average remains below the starting priceour reading
- Other XRP price feeds or oracles show an increase but Chainlink's specific TWAP stream does notour reading
Watch out
HIGHAn outside website decides, with no backup named
“The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd-twap-60s-streams.” · market rules ↗- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
Read on 2026-09-10. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only, not a prediction.
The rules, in plain English
This market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of XRP from Chainlink during September 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that period. Otherwise it resolves to "Down". The resolution source is Chainlink's XRP/USD TWAP data stream at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd-twap-60s-streams. This market uses the Chainlink TWAP data stream, not spot markets or other sources.
What the rules leave open
- What happens if the Chainlink TWAP data stream is unavailable or fails to publish data for the specified period
- Whether the year is 2024 or another year (title does not specify year)
How the starting price is determined (first tick, average of first minute, etc.)
closest the rules come: “This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of XRP, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗