XRP Up or Down - September 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Open on Polymarket ↗Yes last at 50¢
The catch
Resolves on Chainlink's TWAP data stream, not spot price or exchange prices.
“Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair XRP/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.” · market rules ↗
Pays out only if
The time-weighted average price of XRP during the specified period equals or exceeds the price at the start.
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of XRP, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗Has to happen during September 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of XRP, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗Counts as done when: TWAP calculation for the specified time range
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of XRP, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗Decided by: Chainlink, XRP/USD TWAP data stream
“The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd-twap-60s-streams.” · market rules ↗
Does not count
Spot market prices from exchanges or sources other than Chainlink TWAP
“Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair XRP/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.” · market rules ↗- XRP spot price on major exchanges increases during the period but Chainlink TWAP shows a decreaseour reading
- XRP price increases at 6:05AM but the TWAP for the entire period is lower than the starting priceour reading
- XRP price according to other oracle services or data feeds shows an increaseour reading
Watch out
HIGHAn outside website decides, with no backup named
“The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd-twap-60s-streams.” · market rules ↗- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
Read on 2026-09-10. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only, not a prediction.
The rules, in plain English
This market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of XRP from Chainlink during September 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that period. Otherwise it resolves to "Down". The resolution source is Chainlink's XRP/USD TWAP data stream at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd-twap-60s-streams. This market uses the TWAP Chainlink data stream, not spot markets or other sources.
What the rules leave open
What exact timestamp defines 'the beginning of that range' - is it 6:00:00 AM or the first data point available?
closest the rules come: “This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of XRP, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗How is the TWAP calculated if there are gaps or missing data points in the Chainlink stream during the period?
closest the rules come: “The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd-twap-60s-streams.” · market rules ↗Whether the comparison uses the instantaneous price at 6:00AM or a TWAP value at the start
closest the rules come: “This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of XRP, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗