XRP Up or Down - September 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Open on Polymarket ↗Yes last at 51¢
The catch
Resolves on Chainlink's TWAP data stream, not spot price or exchange prices.
“Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair XRP/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.” · market rules ↗
Pays out only if
The time-weighted average price of XRP during the specified range equals or exceeds the price at the start.
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of XRP, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗Has to happen during September 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of XRP, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗Counts as done when: TWAP value from Chainlink for the specified time range
“The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd-twap-60s-streams.” · market rules ↗Decided by: Chainlink XRP/USD TWAP data stream
“The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd-twap-60s-streams.” · market rules ↗
Does not count
Spot market prices from exchanges or other sources
“Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair XRP/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.” · market rules ↗- XRP spot price on Coinbase or Binance rises during the window but Chainlink TWAP does notour reading
- XRP price spikes briefly but the time-weighted average remains below the starting priceour reading
- The price at the end of the window is higher than the start, but the TWAP across the window is lowerour reading
Watch out
HIGHAn outside website decides, with no backup named
“The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd-twap-60s-streams.” · market rules ↗- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
Read on 2026-09-10. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only, not a prediction.
The rules, in plain English
This market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of XRP from Chainlink during September 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that period. Otherwise it resolves to "Down". The resolution source is Chainlink's XRP/USD TWAP data stream at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd-twap-60s-streams. This market uses the TWAP Chainlink data stream, not spot markets or other sources.
What the rules leave open
What happens if the Chainlink data stream is unavailable or fails to report during the specified time window
closest the rules come: “The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd-twap-60s-streams.” · market rules ↗How the starting price is determined (first tick, price at exactly 10:15:00 AM, or another method)
closest the rules come: “This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of XRP, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗